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  • Noel Smith

Video: Why the market won't crash before the July 4th fireworks

On this special time-sensitive episode of Forward Guidance (filmed on June 16, 2022), Noel Smith describes his observations of the options market that indicate strong short-term buying pressure on the stock market. Specifically, Smith notes that options market makers are very long gamma at the $3,620 level of the S&P 500. This position will force market makers to buy as the market goes down to those levels. As the position nears its expiration at the end of June, these hedging activities will be amplified. Lastly, the real "fireworks" for the S&P 500 may start when the position finally expires at the end of the month - and most likely right after the July 4th weekend.

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